TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by specific players in an upcoming football game between Los Angeles and Kansas City. The outcome depends on whether designated players meet or exceed certain reception thresholds during the full game, including any overtime periods.
All markets in this event are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the game's kickoff unless the player meets the required reception threshold. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half participation. Penalties that nullify a play do not count toward receptions, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and all reception counts include overtime periods. The event specifically monitors receptions for Travis Kelce, Kenneth Walker III, and Xavier Worthy, each with multiple markets assessing different reception thresholds (2+ through 11+).
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. You can observe these price changes in real-time on the dashboard.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official statistics for the Los Angeles C versus Kansas City game will be used to determine the number of receptions for each player, and the market will settle based on those verified results. The platform will then distribute payouts to traders who correctly predicted the outcome. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it unfolds to understand how the final results will impact the market.
Several factors could influence this market between now and resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance from key players in recent games, or adjustments to defensive schemes, could also impact the perceived likelihood of different outcomes. Furthermore, large trades within the market itself can cause price movements, especially if they signal a strong conviction from informed traders. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.