TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance thresholds in an upcoming professional football game. It focuses on whether designated players achieve various receiving yard milestones during the full match, including overtime periods. The contracts include protection clauses for partial game participation.
All contracts in this event are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the opening kickoff unless the player meets the specified receiving yards threshold. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and all statistics include overtime periods. The event covers multiple receiving yard thresholds for each specified player, with each threshold resolving to Yes if achieved and No otherwise.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs through trades. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be insightful, as both represent probabilities assigned to the same event, but through distinct mechanisms.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals from the Los Angeles C vs Kansas City game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards for the relevant players will be used to determine which contracts pay out, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders will be able to see the final results and any payouts on Kalshi following the completion of the game and official data release.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Injury reports concerning key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would be significant catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact passing game strategies and therefore receiving yardage. Unexpected news regarding quarterback performance or play-calling tendencies could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in the prices within this market.