TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:43 PM EST
Kalshi
The tightest scoring benchmark at 10 points tests both teams' offensive efficiency from the very start, affecting live betting interest and game analysis.
Markets resolve based on which team first scores 10 points in the full game, including overtime. If neither team reaches 10 points, the Neither Team market resolves to Yes. Postponements within 48 hours of the original start time keep markets open; delays beyond that result in fair price resolution.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each venue operates. If you find significant differences between the odds here and at a sportsbook, it could signal an opportunity to exploit a mispricing, or it could indicate that the market perceives the probability of an outcome differently than the sportsbook does.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants trading in this market. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, giving you insight into the potential for price movement and the level of conviction among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team reaches 10 points first during the game between Los Angeles C and Kansas City. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and scoring as reported by recognized sports authorities. The market’s outcome will be determined by the official game results, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team strategy would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-game analysis from respected sports commentators could also impact trader sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or media coverage, might also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team reaching 10 points first has the potential to move this market before it resolves.