TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:45 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the number of passing touchdowns achieved by specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game between Los Angeles and Kansas City. The outcomes depend on whether the designated player reaches certain thresholds of scoring passes during the full match, including any overtime periods.
All contracts in this event are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the first half—including overtime—the contract resolves to the fair price set before the game’s kickoff, unless the player achieves the required number of passing touchdowns. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics, regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event considers passing touchdowns recorded throughout the entire game, including overtime.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither guarantees accuracy. The market's current pricing reflects what traders collectively believe will happen.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored in the game between Los Angeles C and Kansas City will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be verified against credible public sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome of the game. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could indicate a shift in sentiment and cause prices to fluctuate. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the dynamics of this market.