TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:46 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Los Angeles C vs Kansas City Pro Football game, this market tracks which team scores the first touchdown. The result will reflect the offensive start and initial defensive successes of both teams in the match.
The market resolves based on which team scores the first touchdown, including offensive, defensive, and special teams touchdowns, in the full game, including overtime. If neither team scores a touchdown, the No team market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities, especially closer to the event, as they incorporate a wider range of perspectives than a sportsbook’s initial assessment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team scoring the first touchdown. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing perceptions of each team’s chances, creating a constantly updated assessment of the likely first TD scorer.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team scores the first touchdown in the game between Los Angeles C and Kansas City. Official game statistics and play-by-play data will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. The market will close and settle shortly after the completion of the first touchdown, ensuring a timely and accurate resolution process.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Los Angeles C or Kansas City would have a substantial impact, particularly affecting the perceived scoring potential of specific players. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest conditions favorable to a particular offensive style, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations in this market.