TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:04 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets link financial outcomes to the performance of individual players in an upcoming football game, with payouts scaling directly according to each player's fantasy points scored. The structure ensures that yes and no positions always sum to $1.00 per contract, reflecting a direct inverse relationship between the two.
Each market operates as a scalar contract where the payout for Yes positions is determined by multiplying the player's Points Per Reception (PPR) fantasy points by $0.01, rounding to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and capping the result between $0.00 and $1.00. The No payout is simply $1.00 minus the Yes payout. All payouts are proportional to contract holdings. If a player’s fantasy points are not recorded by Sleeper for the specified week, they are considered to have scored 0.0 points, resulting in a $0.00 Yes payout and a $1.00 No payout. These rules apply uniformly across all player-specific markets for the game.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. You may find that this market’s probabilities diverge from sportsbook odds, particularly if there’s disagreement about underlying factors influencing the game's outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information and potentially offer more accurate forecasts than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, providing a constantly updated forecast for the Los Angeles vs Kansas City game.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Los Angeles vs Kansas City game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to settle the market. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand how the market is reacting to any late-breaking news or developments.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team strategy would likely cause price movement. Unexpected weather conditions impacting the game could also shift probabilities. Furthermore, major shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or breaking news, could influence trader behavior. Even seemingly minor developments, like a change in coaching decisions, could contribute to fluctuations in the market as traders reassess the potential outcomes of the Los Angeles vs Kansas City game.