TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points will be scored in the final quarter of a professional football game between two teams. Bettors can predict whether the combined scoring will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of difficulty and potential payout.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the 4th quarter of the designated professional football game, with overtime points excluded from consideration. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The thresholds increase progressively from 3.5 points to 24.5 points across the ten markets, allowing participants to bet on various levels of scoring intensity in the final quarter. All markets share the same secondary rule that only points scored during regulation time of the 4th quarter count, ensuring consistency across all outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the group. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available buy and sell orders at various price points, giving you an idea of the demand and supply for each outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the 4th quarter of the Los Angeles C vs Kansas City game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle to 100 if the actual total points scored in the 4th quarter is greater than or equal to the threshold defined in the market, and to 0 otherwise. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, particularly quarterbacks or offensive playmakers, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions might also play a role. Furthermore, as the game progresses and early scoring occurs, the market will dynamically adjust to reflect the changing probabilities of exceeding the points threshold.