TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either team during a specific quarter of a professional football game. Bettors assess how decisively one team might outperform the other within a confined timeframe, adding an extra layer of strategy to standard game outcome predictions.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between Los Angeles C and Kansas City during the second quarter of their scheduled game on October 18, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning margin, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, with separate thresholds for both possible winners. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward resolution, regardless of the overall game result. If the game is postponed or canceled without a second quarter having been completed, all markets are void. These markets operate independently, meaning each resolves based on its specific point differential requirement without influence from other market thresholds.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. You may find that the implied probability of a particular outcome in this market differs from sportsbook odds, potentially offering an edge to informed bettors. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and market participants update their assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 2nd quarter spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth—the number of buy and sell orders at different price points—shows how much conviction traders have in their predictions. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 2nd quarter spread of the Los Angeles C versus Kansas City game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the actual point difference between the two teams at the end of the second quarter. Any adjustments or official rulings related to the game's score will be considered in determining the final outcome of this market. Traders will then be settled based on whether their contracts align with the verified result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Los Angeles C or Kansas City would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's offensive or defensive style, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, as kickoff approaches, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sources could impact trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations in this market.