TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both teams in the second half of a specific football game. Each market has a different threshold, allowing participants to bet on whether the combined score will exceed various point totals.
These markets determine whether the combined points scored by Los Angeles C and Kansas City in the second half (including any overtime periods) of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Each market features a unique threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. If the total points scored in the second half surpass the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the second half and any subsequent overtime periods count toward these markets. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market’s odds are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe the actual second-half point total will be higher or lower than the sportsbook’s line, the odds on Kalshi will adjust accordingly, potentially offering an edge for informed bettors. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, whether the total points scored in the second half will be over or under a specific number. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment. As more traders participate, the prices converge, providing a dynamic and real-time estimation of the likely outcome. The more a particular outcome is bought, the higher its price rises, and vice versa, creating an incentive for traders to identify and exploit mispricings.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the second half of the Los Angeles C vs Kansas City game will be used to determine whether the ‘over’ or ‘under’ contracts will pay out. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the definitive record for settlement. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and verification is complete.
Several factors could influence this market before the game ends. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Los Angeles C or Kansas City could significantly shift expectations about scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also play a role. In-game developments, such as a dominant performance by one team’s offense or a series of turnovers, will likely cause rapid adjustments to the odds on Kalshi as traders react to the unfolding events. Unexpected coaching decisions could also influence market movement.