TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:53 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting which player or defensive unit will score the first touchdown for the Los Angeles Chargers in their upcoming game against Kansas City. Each market corresponds to a specific player or the defensive unit, with outcomes determined by in-game performance.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player or the Los Angeles Chargers defensive unit scores the first touchdown for Los Angeles Chargers in the game. If the designated player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to whether that player scores the first touchdown. If no Los Angeles Chargers touchdowns are scored during the game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all player-specific markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all player and defensive unit markets for this event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the first Los Angeles C touchdown will occur. As more people buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling of 'yes' contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the current consensus of all traders participating, creating a real-time probability assessment of this specific event. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to respond quickly to new information and changing expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by identifying which team scores the first touchdown in the game between Los Angeles C and Kansas City. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome is correct. The final price will reflect the probability of the first Los Angeles C touchdown as assessed by the market before resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Los Angeles C or Kansas City, particularly the team’s primary receiving targets or quarterback, would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the market, as these conditions often affect passing offenses. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ offensive capabilities could drive trading activity and move the price of this market.