TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:49 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting which specific player or unit will score the first touchdown for the Kansas City team in an upcoming professional football game against Los Angeles C. Each market corresponds to a different potential scorer, with outcomes determined by in-game performance.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player or unit scores the first touchdown for Kansas City in the designated game. If the designated participant is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a snap occurs—even if nullified by penalty—the outcome depends solely on whether that participant scores the first touchdown. If Kansas City fails to score any touchdowns during the game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all individual player/unit markets resolve to No. This structure applies uniformly across all participant-specific markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. You may find that this market's implied probabilities diverge from traditional sportsbooks, particularly as new information becomes available or if there’s a strong directional bias among traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, as this market is driven by forecasting ability rather than risk management and public perception.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell shares representing different players. The price of a share indicates the probability of that player scoring the first Kansas City touchdown, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market depth shows the volume of shares available at different price points, giving an indication of the strength of conviction behind each prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which player officially scores the first touchdown for Kansas City during the game. The official game statistics will be used to determine the winner, and the platform will verify the result against these sources. Traders holding shares in the correct player’s outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in other players will not.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in the team's offensive strategy, or even weather conditions could shift the probabilities. A key player being ruled out would likely cause a substantial price movement, as would any reports suggesting a change in the starting lineup. Game-day performance during warmups or early drives could also influence trading activity, as traders react to real-time information and adjust their predictions accordingly.