TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will lead at halftime in an upcoming professional football game between Los Angeles C and Kansas City. It evaluates performance based solely on the points scored in the first half of play, with a separate outcome for a tied score.
The market determines the leader at halftime of the Pro Football game between Los Angeles C and Kansas City scheduled for October 18, 2026. A team wins if it scores more points than its opponent in the first half; a tie occurs when both teams finish the half with equal scores. Only points scored during the first half count toward resolving the market, and the outcome depends exclusively on which team holds the advantage or if the half ends in a tie.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately represent the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of prediction market traders compared to sportsbook oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices suggesting a greater likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information, their own analysis, and their expectations of how others will behave, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. This continuous trading process aims to converge towards a fair and efficient prediction of the first-half winner.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the first half of the Los Angeles C vs Kansas City game will be declared the winner of this market. The result will be determined based on official game statistics and reporting, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations after the resolution is finalized.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Los Angeles C or Kansas City team would likely impact the odds. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the market. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports analysts and any unexpected lineup changes announced closer to game time could influence trader behavior and cause price fluctuations in this market.