TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting how many points each team will score in the first half of an upcoming football game. Bettors can choose specific point thresholds for either team, allowing them to speculate on the game's early momentum and scoring potential.
The event consists of multiple sub-markets, each tied to a specific point threshold for either Los Angeles C or Kansas City in the first half of their scheduled Pro Football game on Oct 18, 2026. For each market, if the designated team scores strictly more than the stated threshold points in the first half, that market resolves to 'Yes.' If the team scores exactly the threshold or fewer, the market resolves to 'No.' All markets operate independently, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. The governing body's official scoring rules apply, and Kalshi disclaims any formal affiliation with the league. Trademarks and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade, so the odds can shift rapidly based on collective insight and new information. While sportsbooks may adjust lines based on betting patterns, prediction markets directly incorporate the aggregated beliefs of all participants. It's common to see prediction market prices move closer to the actual outcome as the event approaches, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the first half team totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, signaling a growing belief in that possibility. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game draws nearer, providing a real-time assessment of the likely scoring scenarios.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official first half team totals for both the Los Angeles C and Kansas City will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as recorded by the league and reported by reliable sports news sources. Traders will be able to see the final results and payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the first half of the game.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to starting lineups for either the Los Angeles C or Kansas City would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions, if they impact the game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, performance in recent games, coaching decisions, and even public sentiment expressed through social media or sports analysts can all contribute to changes in the market. As the game approaches, any late-breaking information will be quickly reflected in the trading activity on Kalshi.