TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:29 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the relationship between the first half and full game outcomes in a specific football match. They evaluate whether particular combinations of first half and full game results occur, requiring both conditions to be met for a positive resolution.
The markets resolve based on the combined results of both the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the specified football match. For a market to resolve as Yes, both the specified first half result and the specified full game result must occur exactly as described in the market's primary rule. If either the first half or full game result does not match the market's conditions, the market resolves to No. Postponements are handled such that if the game starts within 48 hours of the original schedule time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Often, you’ll find that prediction market probabilities align with sportsbook odds, but divergences can occur, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders to exploit discrepancies between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Los Angeles C vs Kansas City match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of the corresponding contract, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Los Angeles C vs Kansas City match, specifically the 1st Half / Fulltime Result as determined by official sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will receive nothing. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 18, 2026. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Major announcements about team performance or key player availability would likely cause significant price movements. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also play a role, though the market’s collective intelligence often proves more accurate than individual forecasts. Monitoring these signals can help you anticipate potential shifts in the market.