TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 10:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Golden State or Los Angeles C will win a professional basketball game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives Golden State a 73.0% probability of winning, while Los Angeles C is at 28.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Los Angeles C vs Golden State Pro Basketball game, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Los Angeles C wins the game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, and will close following the conclusion of the contest on or around the resolution date of 2026-11-02.
The event resolves based on the official winner of the professional basketball game between the two teams scheduled for November 1, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within that 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The outcome is determined exclusively by the certified game result, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks and branding.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk assessments, or simply variations in public perception. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated forecast. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds can shift rapidly based on new information or changes in sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the potential result of the game.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team wins the game between the Los Angeles C and Golden State. The result will be determined by the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will not.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Los Angeles C or Golden State would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected performance in preceding games, coaching decisions, or even significant media coverage could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, could impact trading activity and move the odds until the event concludes.