TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Ligue 1 soccer match between Lorient and Paris FC. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the game is considered high-scoring based on that threshold. The outcomes reflect whether the match exceeds specific goal totals after the full regulation time.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Lorient vs Paris FC professional Ligue 1 soccer match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from the goal count. Each market has a distinct threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual number of goals exceeds the respective threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, and each evaluates the same match under its specific numerical condition. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook offerings, it might signal an opportunity for informed traders to exploit a perceived mispricing, but remember past performance is not indicative of future results.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Lorient vs Paris FC match will be the determining factor. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics available from recognized sports data providers. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final result to understand the market’s settlement.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lorient or Paris FC would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking team news, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even public sentiment expressed through social media could all contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help you assess potential trading opportunities in this market.