TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Ligue 1 soccer match between Lorient and Paris FC, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Outcomes are based on specific goal-differential thresholds for each team.
The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Lorient or Paris FC wins the match, subject to specific thresholds. If Lorient wins by more than 2.5 goals, that outcome resolves the first market to Yes. If Lorient wins by more than 1.5 goals (but not exceeding the 2.5 threshold), that resolves the second market to Yes. Conversely, if Paris FC wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes, and if their victory margin exceeds 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. All resolutions occur only after the full 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. The governing body’s official result determines the outcome, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the possible outcomes of the Lorient vs Paris FC match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Lorient vs Paris FC match, as determined by official sports data providers. This ensures an objective and transparent outcome for all participants. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts after the official result is reported.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lorient or Paris FC would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or significant team news could also shift the probabilities. Monitoring these factors can help you understand potential shifts in the market for the Lorient vs Paris FC match.