TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Ligue 1 soccer match between Lorient and Monaco. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated offensive performance of both teams during regular time.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Lorient vs Monaco Ligue 1 match scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the combined goals exceed a specific half-goal increment—from 0.5 to 5.5 goals—within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time of regular play, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. All markets share the same governing conditions and disclaimers regarding Kalshi’s lack of official affiliation with the league or teams, and the ownership of related trademarks and branding.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likelihood of different goal totals in the Lorient vs Monaco match. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each type of market operates. Comparing the two can reveal potential value or insights into public perception versus informed prediction.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential goal totals in the Lorient vs Monaco match. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information, their own analysis, and their expectations of how others will behave, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. This creates a real-time estimate of the likelihood of various outcomes, driven by participant activity.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total goals scored in the Lorient vs Monaco match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events based on the verified result.
Several factors could influence the Lorient vs Monaco goals market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could affect the style of play and goal-scoring potential. Even tactical announcements from the managers, such as a shift in formation or starting lineup, could shift trader sentiment. Any information that alters perceptions of the teams' offensive or defensive capabilities could lead to movement in this market.