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Closed: Oct 18, 1:17 PM EST
Kalshi
Lorient hosts Monaco in a Ligue 1 encounter, with the market centered on whether both teams manage to score during the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends solely on goals scored within this timeframe, excluding any extra time or penalties.
If Lorient and Monaco both score a goal in the Lorient vs Monaco Ligue 1 match originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess the probability of both teams scoring. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might suggest that prediction market participants have information or beliefs not fully captured by traditional sportsbooks. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded view of the potential outcome of this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing 'Yes' or 'No' outcomes for both teams to score. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts dynamically. This means the price isn't set by a bookmaker, but rather by the aggregated actions of individuals trading on their predictions for the Lorient vs Monaco match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether both Lorient and Monaco score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from a recognized sporting authority will be used to determine the final outcome. Traders who correctly predicted whether both teams would score will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. This market provides a way to test your prediction skills against the collective wisdom of other traders.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lorient or Monaco would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of high-scoring or low-scoring games, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might affect the style of play and goal-scoring potential. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team tactics or starting lineups could cause the market to react and adjust its probabilities.