TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:30 PM EST
Kalshi
The fight between Loneer Kavanagh and Ramazonbek Temirov will have multiple markets tracking which exact round each fighter might secure a victory via knockout, technical knockout, submission, or disqualification. Each market corresponds to a specific round, allowing bettors to speculate on the precise timing of a decisive win.
Markets resolve to Yes if the specified fighter wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in the designated round. A technical decision is considered a decision and does not count as a win in any round. The fight must be the one scheduled for October 24, 2026, and all outcomes are determined based on official fight results.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of forecasters. As a result, prediction market prices can sometimes diverge from sportsbook odds, particularly when there's significant public information or disagreement about the likely outcome. It’s common to see differences, especially as new information emerges leading up to the event, and this market may offer a different perspective on the probabilities involved.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of that outcome happening in the Kavanagh vs. Temirov fight.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Loneer Kavanagh vs. Ramazonbek Temirov fight, specifically determining which fighter achieves victory and in which round. The platform will rely on established fight records and reporting to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in the market at the time of resolution.
Several signals could significantly influence this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or updates on their physical condition would likely cause price fluctuations. Public statements from the fighters or their teams, as well as expert analysis from boxing commentators, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the fight, such as changes in the venue or rules, could also impact trading activity and the perceived probabilities of each outcome in the Kavanagh vs. Temirov fight.