TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:30 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on whether the fight concludes before the start of a specific round, allowing participants to wager on an early finish. The outcomes depend on whether the contest ends abruptly due to a knockout, technical knockout, or other immediate stoppage before the designated round begins.
Markets resolve to Yes if the fight ends before the specified round begins. This includes any stoppage—KO, TKO, or other immediate conclusion—occurring prior to the start of the indicated round. The fight in question is the one scheduled for October 24, 2026.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public perception differs from expert analysis. If a large number of people believe an outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price in this market will move accordingly. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into where the crowd and the experts diverge in their assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different outcomes of the Kavanagh vs Temirov fight. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the event gets, the more volatile the prices may become as new information emerges and traders refine their predictions. The current price indicates the probability of each outcome as perceived by the market.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kavanagh vs Temirov fight, specifically which fighter wins or if the fight ends before a specified round. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner and finalize the market, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift expectations. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and public sentiment expressed on social media can all contribute to price movements. A significant shift in any of these areas could lead to substantial changes in the odds for this market.