TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 8:32 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Londrina and Cuiaba will resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout scenarios.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Londrina vs Cuiaba professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game scheduled for October 20, 2026. The resolution occurs after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, but explicitly excludes any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the total goals meet or exceed the specified threshold for each market (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). The markets are independent assessments of scoring volume, with each threshold representing a progressively higher bar for resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a certain outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate than traditional odds, especially as more information becomes available and more traders participate. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether over or under a certain number of goals will be scored in the Londrina vs Cuiaba match. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. The current price represents the market's collective prediction, and you can analyze the price history to understand how sentiment has shifted over time. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal count of the Londrina vs Cuiaba match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics, determining whether the total goals scored exceed or fall short of the threshold defined by the market. The final score will be sourced from official sports data providers and widely available match reports. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will receive 0.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Londrina or Cuiaba would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect the market. Additionally, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches could shift trader sentiment. Finally, public perception and analysis from sports commentators could influence trading activity, especially if they express strong opinions about the likely outcome of the match and the potential for goals.