TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 8:34 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a professional soccer league, where each team aims to score goals during the regular 90 minutes plus any additional stoppage time. The focus is on whether both teams manage to find the back of the net within the standard match duration. This scenario highlights the offensive performance of both sides in a key league fixture.
If Londrina and Cuiaba both score a goal in the Londrina vs Cuiaba Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for Oct 20, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring. As a result, the implied probabilities from Kalshi may differ from those offered by sportsbooks, potentially offering value to informed bettors who can identify discrepancies between the two. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities, especially as event time approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Londrina vs Cuiaba match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust these prices based on their analysis of team form, historical data, and any relevant news. Increased demand for contracts indicating 'Yes' (both teams to score) will drive the price up, while increased selling pressure will lower it, dynamically reflecting the collective forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Londrina and Cuiaba score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the net, and this information will be sourced from established sports data providers. The final result of the match, as recorded by these sources, will dictate the settlement of contracts on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Londrina or Cuiaba would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, potentially affecting the style of play, could cause fluctuations. Unexpected tactical decisions announced by either manager could also move the market, as traders react to the perceived impact on goal-scoring opportunities.