TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 8:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Londrina and Cuiaba in the Brasileiro Serie B league. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for Londrina, a win for Cuiaba, or a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Londrina vs Cuiaba Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for October 20, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome applies to the specific market corresponding to the actual result—Londrina win, Cuiaba win, or tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, reflecting the adjusted timing and circumstances of the event. The markets operate independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade and express their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take a position in this market, driving the price towards their perceived fair value. This dynamic can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will rise, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Londrina vs Cuiaba match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The specific outcome that determines settlement will be the final score of the match, with a clear winner or a draw being the possible results. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results are verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, public opinion and analysis from sports commentators could sway the market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions. Major upsets in other related matches might also indirectly affect the perceived probabilities in this market.