TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Londrina and America FC in the Brasileiro Serie B league. The match will be determined based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Participants can speculate on whether Londrina will win, America FC will win, or if the game will end in a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Londrina vs America FC professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for November 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Londrina or America FC markets occurs only if the respective team secures a victory within regular time; draws resolve the 'Tie' market. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price. The event exclusively considers regular-time results, with no account for extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation proceedings. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Kalshi, potentially driving the odds in a different direction. This dynamic can lead to more accurate predictions, as the market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Londrina vs America FC match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions in response to changing circumstances, creating a dynamic and informative pricing signal.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Londrina vs America FC match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or tactical changes could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed individuals or groups could also cause noticeable shifts in the odds, as others react to their activity. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into potential market movements.