TOTAL VOLUME:

$115.4b

24H VOL:

$69,765,223

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,328,568,758

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,162,318,241

307,008

Markets across

30,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,922

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Sports
kalshi
limitless
predict
polymarket

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Total volume:
$4,940,176
Volume 24h:
$2,954,151N/A
Liquidity:
$459,802
167%
Open interest:
$284,673
115,734%

Any Player Quadra Kill

 - Polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill - Polymarket

99.9%

+0.9%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

70%80%90%

No volume data

Aug 16

Aug 17

Aug 18

Aug 20

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 23

Vol.

$0.0

·

Resolves Aug 16, 2026

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99.9¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.1% | APY: N/A Low liquidity
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks whether any player will achieve a quadra kill in Game 2 of the League of Legends match between Weibo Gaming and Invictus Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana. The aggregated consensus probability for this outcome occurring is 99.9%. Data is drawn from Kalshi, Limitless, Polymarket, and Predict, with resolution based on official results from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Watch for the match on August 16 at 5:00AM ET, as this will determine the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core resolution logic based on official results from gol.gg with credible reporting as a backup, and consistent handling of cancellations, incomplete matches, and name discrepancies.Primary resolution logic: https://gol.gg/esports/home (with credible reporting as backup)

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve to the winning team if that team wins the match/game as defined
  • Markets resolve to 50-50 for cancellations, matches delayed beyond 7 days without play beginning, or incomplete matches where no winner is determined
  • Name discrepancies are resolved based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching
  • Credible reporting is used as a backup source if gol.gg doesn't publish results within 2 hours of conclusion

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Canceled: All markets resolve to 50-50 if the match is canceled before any play begins
  • Incomplete Match: If the match begins but isn't completed, markets resolve based on completed portions (e.g., Game 1 winner if only Game 1 was played), or 50-50 if no winner can be determined
  • Forfeit/Walkover: If a team wins due to opponent's forfeiture/disqualification, the winning team resolves normally; if a team withdraws before the start, markets resolve to 50-50
Timing: Resolution occurs within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, using official results from gol.gg or credible reporting as backupOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Invictus Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for August 16 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against Invictus Gaming. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the LPL 2026 match originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match starts and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body.

Predict

This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Invictus Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for August 16 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against Invictus Gaming. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Limitless

This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Invictus Gaming in the LPL Split 3 2026, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 UTC. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against Invictus Gaming. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, or the team is renamed or rebranded, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the LPL Nirvana group match market aggregates data across platforms, showing real-time probabilities and volume trends for this specific betting opportunity. It tracks the collective wisdom of Polymarket and Predict traders, reflecting shifts in sentiment as the match approaches. With a total volume of $4,940,176 and 24-hour volume of $1,084,314, it visualizes how market participants price the contest’s possible outcomes, helping users spot consensus or divergence in expectations.

This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result aligns with the official match conclusion, reflecting the competitive performance of the teams as recorded by licensed esports authorities and widely covered by sports news outlets.

Key signals such as player injuries, strategic roster changes, or recent performance trends may shift this market before Aug 16, 2026. Media analysis, practice match results, and crowd sentiment on Polymarket and Predict also influence trader behavior. Any last-minute updates affecting team dynamics or venue conditions can cause rapid probability swings, so monitoring news feeds and in-platform activity is essential for spotting movement.