TOTAL VOLUME:

$115.2b

24H VOL:

$128,428,687

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,328,568,758

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,205,210,916

312,763

Markets across

30,719

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,906

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Time left: 12h:02m:21s

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

99%chance
Amount

$

You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
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Description

This group covers multiple markets related to a League of Legends match between ThunderTalk Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, scheduled for August 23, 2026. Markets include match winner, game winners, total games, game handicaps, and various in-game event occurrences across up to three games.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core resolution logic tied to official gol.gg results with credible reporting backup, consistent treatment of match completion windows, and identical handling of game-specific market conditions.Primary resolution logic: https://gol.gg/esports/home (with credible reporting consensus as backup)

Core resolution logic:

  • Match must conclude within 14 calendar days of original date (by September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET) or resolve as 50-50
  • Game-specific markets only resolve if the referenced game is completed — remade games count only once
  • Baron/Nashor/Dragon/Inhibitor/Quadra/Penta kill data must be officially recorded in the match logs
  • Total kills markets count only champion kills, excluding executions by non-champion sources

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponed Beyond Deadline: If the match is not completed by the September 6 deadline, all markets resolve as 50-50 regardless of later play
  • Game Forfeiture/Walkover: If a game is decided by forfeiture/disqualification before completion, game-specific markets resolve as 50-50; series markets resolve to the winning team if the series outcome is already determined
  • Remade Game: Only the final, official game result counts — previous versions of the same game are discarded
Timing: Resolution occurs within 2 hours of official result publication on gol.gg, or within 2 hours of match conclusion if gol.gg is delayed, using credible reporting consensusOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the specified LPL 2026 match. If the match is postponed and does not start within 48 hours of the original time, or if it is cancelled or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match starts and is later forfeited, the market resolves based on the official result from the governing body. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Predict

This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Limitless

This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Split 3 2026, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 UTC. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, or the team is renamed or rebranded, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Opinion

In the upcoming LPL best-of-series match scheduled for 2026-08-23 07:00 UTC: if LGD Gaming wins the series, the market will resolve to "LGD Gaming"; if ThunderTalk Gaming wins the series, the market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming". The series winner is the first team to win a majority of games. Individual games remade due to technical issues do not count as wins toward the series. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team's listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: official LPL broadcast and https://lolesports.com. Note: Opinion will resolve this market strictly based on the first final result officially published or announced by a designated resolution source. Any subsequent revision, correction, or reversal will not affect the resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the LPL Group Ascend match market aggregates activity across platforms, showing real-time odds, trading volume, and consensus views from multiple prediction markets. It tracks how traders on different venues price the chances of various outcomes in this competitive series. With a total volume of $150,329 and 24-hour volume at $111,954, it offers a live snapshot of market sentiment and liquidity for the LPL Group Ascend match market.

This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match conclusion, reflecting which team advances in the LPL Group Ascend as determined by the match results and league regulations.

Key signals that could shift this market include player injuries, coaching changes, recent performance trends, and any pre-match analysis or commentary from experts. Sudden shifts in team form or unexpected strategy reveals often drive rapid price adjustments. As the event approaches, betting volume spikes and media coverage can also heavily influence trader sentiment and market movement.