TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:00 AM EST
Predict
This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between Team Vitality and BNK FEARX in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against BNK FEARX. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against Team Vitality. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between Team Vitality and BNK FEARX in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against BNK FEARX. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against Team Vitality. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the probability of an outcome. If a significant number of people believe Team Vitality will win, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially diverging from sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially when there's substantial public information available, as is the case with professional League of Legends.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more trades occur, the price adjusts, providing a dynamic and real-time estimate of the likelihood of Team Vitality or BNK FEARX winning. The current price indicates the implied probability assigned by traders on Predict.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage match between Team Vitality and BNK FEARX will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winner. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market history.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match takes place. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Team Vitality or BNK FEARX could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the playing conditions or any controversies surrounding the teams could also cause movement. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants on Predict could indicate a change in expectations and lead to price adjustments as the event draws closer.