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LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Team Secret Whales vs LYON?

Volume:
$2,968,861

LYON

 - Kalshi

LYON - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 9:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

LYON

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$709,027
N/A
N/A
$549,847
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,061
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,962,565
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Team Secret Whales

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$275,962
N/A
N/A
$201,086
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,246
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the League of Legends match between LYON and Team Secret Whales in the Worlds 2026 Group Stage, alongside potential in-game events. Currently, the consensus probability of LYON winning is 99.0%, with Team Secret Whales winning at 1.0%. This aggregated view combines data from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on which team wins the match originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 23, 2026, as the outcome of that game will determine market resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi creates two separate markets for each team winning, while Polymarket has a single market resolving to the winner or a 50-50 split.Hero tip: Consider the implications of Kalshi's split markets; you're betting on a specific team winning, not just *that* a winner exists. Polymarket offers a more traditional win/no-win/tie structure.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team. If the match is canceled, postponed beyond November 6, 2026, or ends in a forfeit *before* the match begins, it resolves 50-50. "If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if LYON wins, and 'Yes' if Team Secret Whales wins. This effectively creates two separate markets. "If LYON wins the Worlds 2026: LYON vs. Team Secret Whales League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between Team Secret Whales and LYON in the Worlds Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Secret Whales" if Team Secret Whales win the match against LYON. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Team Secret Whales. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 23, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the LYON vs. Team Secret Whales League of Legends match at Worlds 2026, scheduled for October 23, 2026, at 7:00 PM EDT. If LYON wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Team Secret Whales wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any gameplay, both markets resolve to their fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result declared by the tournament organizer. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the LoL Worlds Group Stage match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $2,968,861, with $2,914,359 traded in the last 24 hours. This indicates significant interest in predicting the result of this contest. The dashboard provides a consensus view derived from multiple prediction markets, allowing users to see where the crowd believes the most likely outcome lies for this particular match. This is a dynamic view that changes as new information and trading activity occur.

Prediction market odds, such as those reflected in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and the incentive structure. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities. The volume of $2,968,861 traded on this event suggests a strong level of participant conviction. Furthermore, prediction markets benefit from continuous updating as new information emerges, unlike sportsbook odds which are typically adjusted less frequently. This can lead to discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes identifying mispriced opportunities.