TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 7:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether both Team Liquid and CTBC Flying Oyster will slay Baron Nashor in their upcoming League of Legends Worlds Group Stage match. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?”. Resolution will be determined by data from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, as the outcome of this game will directly determine the market’s resolution.
This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between Team Liquid and CTBC Flying Oyster in the Worlds Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against CTBC Flying Oyster. This market will resolve to "CTBC Flying Oyster" if CTBC Flying Oyster win the match against Team Liquid. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s odds are driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors one team. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into where the market believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the probability of Team Liquid or CTBC Flying Oyster winning.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of Team Liquid winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the market. The current price indicates what percentage of traders believe Team Liquid will be victorious in this single game.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Team Liquid versus CTBC Flying Oyster match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official game result as reported by the League of Legends tournament organizers. The market will determine which team won the best-of-one game, and shares will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the winner.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding player form, potential roster changes for either Team Liquid or CTBC Flying Oyster, or strategic insights revealed by analysts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team practice schedules or even commentary from prominent League of Legends personalities could also impact trading activity. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of winning is likely to move this market.