TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 5:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether both teams will slay a Baron Nashor in Game 2 of the best-of-five League of Legends match between Movistar KOI Fénix and TLN Pirates during the EMEA Masters Playoffs. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?”. Resolution will be based on data from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Keep an eye on the initial match schedule for October 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, as the start of Game 2 will be a key signal for how this market resolves.
This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 3 match between Movistar KOI Fénix and TLN Pirates in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI Fénix" if Movistar KOI Fénix win the match against TLN Pirates. This market will resolve to "TLN Pirates" if TLN Pirates win the match against Movistar KOI Fénix. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market represents the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the unique dynamics of each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information or shifts in public sentiment than traditional odds, potentially offering a different valuation of the likely winner of the LoL EMEA Masters Playoffs.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Movistar KOI Fénix versus TLN Pirates best-of-five series in the EMEA Masters Playoffs. The winning team, as determined by the official tournament organizers, will dictate the settlement of this market. Any potential disputes will be assessed against publicly available match records and tournament rules.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Unexpected roster changes for either Movistar KOI Fénix or TLN Pirates, significant performance shifts in recent matches, or even news regarding player health could all impact trader sentiment. Major upsets in other EMEA Masters Playoffs matches could also affect perceptions of team strength and influence trading activity. Any new information relating to team strategies or player form has the potential to move this market significantly between now and Oct 9, 2026.