TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a League of Legends Best-of-5 playoff match between Invictus Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET in the LPL Playoffs. Markets span match winner, individual game winners, first blood by game, kill totals across all five potential games, and game handicaps. The group contains 168 individual markets across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket diverge on how to resolve the match winner and game-level markets when the match begins but is not completed due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover. Kalshi awards the win to the non-forfeiting team; Polymarket resolves to 50-50.Hero Tip:
If you hold positions on both platforms, pay close attention to whether any games are actually played. If the match is canceled or forfeited before Game 1 begins, both platforms resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 or later begins and then the opponent forfeits, Kalshi resolves to the winning team but Polymarket resolves to 50-50. Hedge accordingly or choose your platform based on your risk tolerance for forfeit scenarios.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Match winner resolves to the team that wins if the match begins but is not completed and one team wins due to opponent forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover. If the match ends in forfeit, disqualification, or walkover before play begins, resolves to 50-50.Polymarket:
Match winner and all game-level markets resolve to 50-50 if the match begins but is not completed and one team wins due to opponent forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover. Resolves to 50-50 if match is canceled, not played at all, or delayed beyond 7 days without a winner determined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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