TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports?

Volume:
$4,159,736

Match Winner

 - Polymarket

Match Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 3:37 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,364,360
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hanwha Life Esports

100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$602,871
N/A
N/A
$537,723
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Top Esports

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$192,505
N/A
N/A
$160,984
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Intro

This market tracks whether both Hanwha Life Esports and Top Esports will slay a dragon in their upcoming League of Legends Worlds Group Stage match. Currently, the consensus probability of “Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?” occurring is 100.0%. This prediction aggregates data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on data from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the outcome will be determined by gameplay during the event window concluding on the resolution date of 2026-10-24.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi lacks detailed resolution criteria compared to Polymarket, particularly regarding edge cases and fallback resolution sources.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket for more robust resolution logic, especially if you anticipate potential disruptions or unusual match circumstances. Kalshi's simplicity may be suitable for straightforward win/loss predictions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on win/loss with detailed rules for cancellations, postponements, forfeits, remakes, and a specified resolution source (gol.gg) with a credible reporting fallback. "If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50."
  • Kalshi: Resolves if either team wins, lacking detailed rules for edge cases. "If Top Esports wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Hanwha Life Esports wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between Hanwha Life Esports and Top Esports in the Worlds Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win the match against Top Esports. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Hanwha Life Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Worlds 2026 League of Legends match between Top Esports and Hanwha Life Esports scheduled for October 23, 2026, at 5:00 PM EDT. If Top Esports wins, the Top Esports market resolves to Yes; if Hanwha Life Esports wins, the Hanwha Life Esports market resolves to Yes. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any play, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, the markets resolve according to the official result declared by the tournament organizer or governing body. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the LoL Worlds Group Stage match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $4,159,736, with $4,005,019 traded in the last 24 hours. This indicates considerable interest in predicting the results of this event. The dashboard provides a consensus view, reflecting the combined predictions of traders on both venues, allowing for a broader understanding of expectations surrounding the match. It’s designed to give a comprehensive overview of the market for the LoL Worlds Group Stage match.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on expert analysis and proprietary algorithms, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade and express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may focus on perceived value, this market aggregates diverse opinions, potentially identifying mispriced outcomes. Comparing the odds can provide a more nuanced understanding of the expected result.