TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 3:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether both Hanwha Life Esports and Top Esports will slay a dragon in their upcoming League of Legends Worlds Group Stage match. Currently, the consensus probability of “Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?” occurring is 100.0%. This prediction aggregates data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on data from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the outcome will be determined by gameplay during the event window concluding on the resolution date of 2026-10-24.
This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between Hanwha Life Esports and Top Esports in the Worlds Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win the match against Top Esports. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Hanwha Life Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the result of the Worlds 2026 League of Legends match between Top Esports and Hanwha Life Esports scheduled for October 23, 2026, at 5:00 PM EDT. If Top Esports wins, the Top Esports market resolves to Yes; if Hanwha Life Esports wins, the Hanwha Life Esports market resolves to Yes. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any play, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, the markets resolve according to the official result declared by the tournament organizer or governing body. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on expert analysis and proprietary algorithms, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade and express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may focus on perceived value, this market aggregates diverse opinions, potentially identifying mispriced outcomes. Comparing the odds can provide a more nuanced understanding of the expected result.