TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 11:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether both teams will destroy inhibitors in Game 4 of the best-of-five League of Legends match between HANJIN BRION and LGD Gaming at the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs. Currently, Polymarket gives a 19.0% probability to both teams destroying inhibitors in Game 4, while a quadra kill by any player also has a 19.0% probability. Resolution will be based on data from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Keep an eye on the initial match schedule for October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET, as this date marks the beginning of the event window for determining the outcome of Game 4.
This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 4 match between HANJIN BRION and LGD Gaming in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win the match against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against HANJIN BRION. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on team rankings and analyst predictions, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their belief about the likely outcome. If there's a significant difference, it may indicate that the crowd believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn't yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. Comparing these odds can offer a broader perspective on the potential result of the match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs BO5 match between HANJIN BRION and LGD Gaming. This includes verifying the final score and confirming the winning team through official League of Legends esports channels. The market will then settle to reflect whether the predicted outcome occurred.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Unexpected news regarding player health, team strategies, or even changes in the meta could shift trader sentiment. Strong performances by either team in preceding matches or significant analyst commentary could also impact the odds. Furthermore, any official announcements from the tournament organizers regarding the match schedule or format could trigger price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 13, 2026.