TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether GAM Esports will win their Round 1 match against Team WE in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage. Currently, Polymarket gives GAM Esports a 100.0% probability of winning. The resolution source for this market is https://gol.gg/esports/home. Keep an eye on the match start time of October 3, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET, as the outcome will be determined by the result of that initial fixture.
This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between GAM Esports and Team WE in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "GAM Esports" if GAM Esports win the match against Team WE. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against GAM Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, potentially leading to a more accurate forecast. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view of the likely result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of GAM Esports or Team WE winning this BO1 match.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the GAM Esports versus Team WE match in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning team, triggering the payout of shares to those who correctly predicted the result. The outcome will be based on the official tournament results.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either GAM Esports or Team WE could significantly shift sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the tournament format or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, strong performances by either team in preceding matches, or even commentary from prominent League of Legends analysts, could drive traders to adjust their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.