TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 6:00 PM EST
Predict
This market tracks the outcome of a best-of-one League of Legends match between G2 Esports and Dplus KIA in the Worlds Group Stage. Currently, Predict gives G2 Esports an 81.0% probability of winning. Resolution will be based on official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home, with a fallback to credible reporting if necessary. Keep an eye on the initially scheduled match time of October 23, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, as this date represents the deadline for the match to be rescheduled and still resolve based on the game’s result.
This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between G2 Esports and Dplus KIA in the Worlds Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against Dplus KIA. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against G2 Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 23, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like promotional offers or biases based on public betting patterns. This market, however, is driven by individuals directly forecasting the outcome, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of true probabilities. While sportsbooks might initially set odds based on team rankings and historical data, the collective wisdom of the crowd on Predict can quickly adjust those probabilities as new information emerges or differing opinions gain traction. It’s a valuable comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous process of buy and sell orders placed by users. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand – if more people are buying, the price rises, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic odds representation reflecting the collective forecast of the crowd. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price represents the probability that a particular outcome will occur, as assessed by all traders participating in this market. The more volume traded, the more confidence can be placed in the price as a reliable indicator.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the G2 Esports versus Dplus KIA match in the LoL Worlds Group Stage. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be eligible for payouts based on the odds at the time of their trades. This is a single match, so the outcome is straightforward and quickly determined.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Unexpected news regarding player health or performance for either G2 Esports or Dplus KIA would likely cause significant shifts. Major strategic announcements from either team, such as changes to their draft compositions or playstyle, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any significant upsets in other matches within the Worlds Group Stage could indirectly affect perceptions of team strength and influence trading behavior on Predict leading up to Oct 23, 2026.