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2,984,640,614

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419,492

Markets across

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA?

Volume:
$5,573,194

Dplus KIA

 - Kalshi

Dplus KIA - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 6:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Dplus KIA

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$736,532
N/A
N/A
$526,157
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,075,384
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

G2 Esports

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$755,468
N/A
N/A
$543,153
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,589
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,192
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Intro

This market tracks whether both G2 Esports and Dplus KIA will slay a dragon during their best-of-one League of Legends match in the Worlds Group Stage. Currently, the aggregated probability across Kalshi and Polymarket indicates a 99.5% chance of this occurring, with resolution determined by data from gol.gg/esports/home. This prediction group also covers other in-game events during the first game of the match. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled to conclude by the resolution date estimate of 2026-10-24, to see if either team secures a dragon kill.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's 'Yes' resolution for either team winning is functionally equivalent to Polymarket's binary outcome, but the phrasing introduces a minor semantic difference.Hero tip: Focus on the ultimate match result reported by a reputable esports source like gol.gg to ensure consistent resolution across platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'G2 Esports' or 'Dplus KIA' if they win, 50-50 for cancellations/ties or postponed matches exceeding the November 6, 2026 deadline. Includes detailed rules for forfeits and remakes.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins. Doesn't explicitly address cancellation, ties, or postponements beyond the initial match schedule.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between G2 Esports and Dplus KIA in the Worlds Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against Dplus KIA. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against G2 Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 23, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Worlds 2026 League of Legends match between Dplus KIA and G2 Esports, scheduled for October 23, 2026, at 4:00 PM EDT. If Dplus KIA wins, the Dplus KIA market resolves to Yes, and the G2 Esports market resolves to No. Conversely, if G2 Esports wins, the G2 Esports market resolves to Yes, and the Dplus KIA market resolves to No. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any gameplay, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match begins but is later forfeited, the result is determined by the official outcome published by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profit, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets are driven by genuine belief. This means prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, reflecting the collective intelligence of informed traders. However, sportsbooks typically have higher trading volume and may offer more diverse betting options. For this particular LoL matchup, comparing the implied probabilities between Polymarket, Kalshi, and major sportsbooks could reveal interesting discrepancies and potential value opportunities.