TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 12:00 AM EST
Predict
This market tracks whether the total kills in Game 4 of the FURIA Esports versus MVK Esports Worlds Play-In match will be over or under 27.5. Currently, the probability of “Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?” resolving to “Over” is 51.0% on Predict. Resolution will be based on official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home, with a fallback to credible reporting if necessary. Keep an eye on the initially scheduled match time of October 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of Game 4 if the match proceeds as planned.
This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between FURIA Esports and MVK Esports in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against MVK Esports. This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win the match against FURIA Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like marketing and risk management into their odds, while this market is driven purely by participants’ willingness to buy or sell based on their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely winner. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the probabilities involved.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports BO5 match at the LoL Worlds Play-In stage. The winning team, as determined by the official game results, will be the basis for settlement. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either FURIA Esports or MVK Esports could shift expectations. Major upsets in other matches during the Worlds Play-In stage might also affect perceptions of these teams’ chances. Additionally, significant bets from informed traders or large volume spikes on Predict could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, leading to price movements in this market.