TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
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What is the result of FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports?

Volume:
$975,185

Game 4 Winner

 - Predict

Game 4 Winner - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 12:00 AM EST

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Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Game 4 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$24,430
$51,653
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$22,545
$5,199
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$17,014
$2,432
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$26,955
$1,655
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$17,337
$1,389
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$17,139
$647
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

First Blood in Game 1?

100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$16,881
$558
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

First Blood in Game 4?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$16,871
$164
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Match Winner

0%
77%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$7,404
$331,211
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Game 2 Winner

0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$967
$176,935
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Game 3 Winner

0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$2,116
$147,257
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Game 1 Winner

0%
68%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1,486
$138,292
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)

0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$732
$67,628
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$547
$15,389
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 3.5 Games

0%
68%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1,088
$13,307
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 4.5 Games

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$555
$12,387
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1,745
$4,503
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$314
$2,912
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

First Blood in Game 3?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$198
$735
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$163
$648
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

First Blood in Game 2?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$315
$284
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Intro

This market tracks whether the total kills in Game 4 of the FURIA Esports versus MVK Esports Worlds Play-In match will be over or under 27.5. Currently, the probability of “Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?” resolving to “Over” is 51.0% on Predict. Resolution will be based on official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home, with a fallback to credible reporting if necessary. Keep an eye on the initially scheduled match time of October 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of Game 4 if the match proceeds as planned.

Predict

This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between FURIA Esports and MVK Esports in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against MVK Esports. This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win the match against FURIA Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the LoL Worlds Play-In market displays the current odds for each potential outcome, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which indicates how much activity there has been on this market recently. Currently, the total volume is $975,185 and the 24-hour volume is $859,313. This information helps traders understand market sentiment and identify potential opportunities.

Often, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like marketing and risk management into their odds, while this market is driven purely by participants’ willingness to buy or sell based on their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely winner. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the probabilities involved.

This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports BO5 match at the LoL Worlds Play-In stage. The winning team, as determined by the official game results, will be the basis for settlement. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either FURIA Esports or MVK Esports could shift expectations. Major upsets in other matches during the Worlds Play-In stage might also affect perceptions of these teams’ chances. Additionally, significant bets from informed traders or large volume spikes on Predict could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, leading to price movements in this market.