TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether both BNK FEARX and JD Gaming will destroy an inhibitor in Game 4 of their best-of-five series during the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs. Currently, Polymarket gives a 98.0% probability to “Game 4: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?”. Resolution will be based on data from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Keep an eye on the initial match schedule for October 12, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET, as the start of Game 4 will be a key signal for how the series is progressing and potential inhibitor destruction.
This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 1 match between BNK FEARX and JD Gaming in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against BNK FEARX. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 12, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders who are directly incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. While sportsbook odds might initially appear different, they can converge as the event approaches and more information becomes available, reflecting a similar assessment of the probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs match between BNK FEARX and JD Gaming. The team declared the winner by the tournament organizers will determine the winning outcome for this market. Any disputes regarding the official results will be addressed according to Polymarket’s standard procedures.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either BNK FEARX or JD Gaming could significantly impact predictions. Major upsets in other Demacia Cup matches, or even broader shifts in the League of Legends competitive landscape, could also cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also introduce volatility into this market.