TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI?

Volume:
$5,560,462

Movistar KOI

 - Kalshi

Movistar KOI - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 3:53 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Movistar KOI

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$604,079
N/A
N/A
$380,353
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,520
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$645
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

0%
81%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,153,245
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bilibili Gaming

0%
82%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$786,548
N/A
N/A
$503,329
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$425
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Intro

This market tracks the total number of kills in Game 1 of the League of Legends Worlds Group Stage match between Bilibili Gaming and Movistar KOI. Currently, the consensus probability favors Over 27.5 kills at 100.0%. This aggregated view combines data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution determined by data from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Keep an eye on the start of the match on October 24, 2026, as that marks the beginning of the game window for resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Discrepancy in resolution for match winner in the event of a forfeit or disqualification before the match begins.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of a forfeit/disqualification. If you believe a forfeit is unlikely, Kalshi's market may be preferable. If you anticipate a forfeit, Polymarket's 50-50 resolution offers a different risk profile.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
  • Kalshi: If Bilibili Gaming wins the Worlds 2026 match, the market resolves to Yes. If Movistar KOI wins, the market resolves to Yes. This implies a winner is determined even with a forfeit.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between Bilibili Gaming and Movistar KOI in the Worlds Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Movistar KOI. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Bilibili Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Worlds 2026 League of Legends match between Movistar KOI and Bilibili Gaming scheduled for October 23, 2026, at 8:00 PM EDT. If Movistar KOI wins, the Movistar KOI market resolves to Yes, and the Bilibili Gaming market resolves to No. Conversely, if Bilibili Gaming wins, the Bilibili Gaming market resolves to Yes, and the Movistar KOI market resolves to No. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any gameplay, both markets resolve to their respective fair market prices. If the match begins but is later forfeited, the outcome is determined by the official result declared by the tournament organizer or governing body. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Several signals could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for Bilibili Gaming or Movistar KOI could shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the tournament format or venue could also influence trading activity. In-game performance during the match itself, such as early game dominance or key player engagements, will be closely watched. A significant upset in another Worlds Group Stage match could also indirectly affect sentiment and volume in this market, as traders reassess the competitive landscape.