TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 5:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether any player on either Anyone's Legend or Karmine Corp achieves a quadra kill—four or more kills without dying—during their best-of-one match in the League of Legends Worlds Group Stage. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to this outcome. The resolution source for this market is gol.gg/esports/home. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, as the occurrence of a quadra kill will directly determine the outcome before the final resolution date of October 24, 2026.
This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between Anyone's Legend and Karmine Corp in the Worlds Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win the match against Karmine Corp. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Anyone's Legend. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 23, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective belief of informed traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that prediction market participants have access to information or insights not fully priced into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster and more efficiently than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available leading up to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price of shares will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new data and provide a real-time assessment of the potential results of the match.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the League of Legends Worlds Group Stage match between Anyone's Legend and Karmine Corp. The platform will verify the winner of the BO1 match against publicly available and authoritative sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for Anyone's Legend or Karmine Corp could significantly shift the odds. Major upsets in other Worlds Group Stage matches, or analysis from prominent League of Legends commentators, could also impact trader sentiment. In-game performance during the match itself, such as early game dominance or key objective control, will also be closely watched and rapidly reflected in the market price.