TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in Croatia's HNL league. Bettors can speculate on whether one team will secure a victory or if the game will end in a draw within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the match result as it stands after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Lokomotiva vs Istra 1961 professional Croatia HNL soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Lokomotiva, a win for Istra 1961, or a tie. Each corresponding market will resolve to 'Yes' if that specific result occurs. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The event exclusively considers regular-time results, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available liquidity at different price points, indicating how easily large trades can be executed without significantly impacting the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Croatian League match will be used to determine which outcome is declared the winner. The platform will rely on official sources to verify the final score and declare the winning outcome. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected lineup announcements or reports of player disputes could also trigger significant movement. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage can play a role, as increased attention on one team or player might sway traders' opinions. Major upsets in other related matches could also influence the market, as bettors adjust their overall assessments of team strength and form.