TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 10:21 AM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on forecasting the result of a professional Slovakian Cup soccer match between Lokomotiva Kosice and Trencin. The outcome is determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalties. Possible results are a win for either team or a tie.
The market resolves based on the outcome of the Lokomotiva Kosice vs Trencin professional Slovakian Cup soccer match scheduled for Oct 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Lokomotiva Kosice resolves the 'Lokomotiva Kosice' market to Yes; a win for Trencin resolves the 'Trencin' market to Yes; and a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market resolves to a fair price. The resolution depends solely on the full-time result, excluding extra time or penalties, and the markets are independent of each other.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the 'wisdom of the crowd' versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially uncovering information not fully captured by traditional methods. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure there's always a bid and ask price available, facilitating trading and price discovery. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a constantly updated assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kosice vs Trencin match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 14, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Game-day weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, might also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi could create momentum and drive price movements, reflecting a change in perceived probabilities. Public opinion and expert analysis can also contribute to shifts in the market.