TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lokomotiv Kuban vs. MBA Moscow
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Lokomotiv Kuban vs. MBA Moscow?

Volume:
$39,217

BC Lokomotiv Kuban

 - Kalshi

BC Lokomotiv Kuban - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 9:22 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

BC Lokomotiv Kuban

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,828
N/A
N/A
$9,549
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lokomotiv Kuban vs. MBA Moscow

100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,871
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

MBA Moscow

0%
91%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,518
N/A
N/A
$15,310
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a VTB United League basketball game between Lokomotiv Kuban and MBA Moscow. The markets ask forecasters to predict which team will win the game, with resolution based on the final score, including overtime. A cancellation with no makeup game results in a 50-50 split.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Kalshi market references a game scheduled for October 3, 2026, while Polymarket references an upcoming game on October 3rd of the current year. This represents a significant date discrepancy.Hero tip: Prioritize the Polymarket market as it aligns with the current event. The Kalshi market's future date introduces significant uncertainty and SKU risk.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market resolves based on the winner of the game on October 3rd at 7:00 AM ET, including overtime. A cancellation with no makeup game results in a 50-50 split. "If the Lokomotiv Kuban win, the market will resolve to "Lokomotiv Kuban".
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if Lokomotiv Kuban wins the game originally scheduled for October 3, 2026, at 7:00 AM EDT. "If BC Lokomotiv Kuban wins the MBA Moscow vs BC Lokomotiv Kuban men's professional Russia VTB United basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming VTB United League game, scheduled for October 3 at 7:00AM ET: If the Lokomotiv Kuban win, the market will resolve to "Lokomotiv Kuban". If the MBA Moscow win, the market will resolve to "MBA Moscow". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

If BC Lokomotiv Kuban wins the MBA Moscow vs BC Lokomotiv Kuban men's professional Russia VTB United basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If MBA Moscow wins the MBA Moscow vs BC Lokomotiv Kuban men's professional Russia VTB United basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Lokomotiv Kuban vs. MBA Moscow game from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the combined volume across these platforms is $39,217, with $35,188 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view on the likely outcome of the game, providing a broader perspective than any single market alone. The dashboard displays the probabilities and trading activity from each source, helping you understand where the smart money is flowing and how opinions are shifting leading up to the event.

Prediction market odds, such as those displayed for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that balance action on both sides and ensure a profit margin, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially offering more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available in prediction markets, and liquidity can vary significantly between the two.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading mechanisms, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform can vary significantly, impacting price volatility and responsiveness to new information. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Lokomotiv Kuban, while Kalshi leans toward MBA Moscow, reflecting differing opinions among traders on each venue. These discrepancies present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from price differences across markets.