TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 9:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match between Llaneros and Cali. The result will be determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Markets will reflect whether Llaneros wins, Cali wins, or the match ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Llaneros vs Cali professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer game scheduled for October 21, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for Llaneros or Cali markets occurs if the respective team wins the match within regulation time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends in a draw after regulation. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The markets are independent of any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply the influence of public opinion. If you observe a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate a potential trading opportunity, suggesting the crowd believes there’s a mispricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid to buy and offer to sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, meaning that if many traders believe an outcome is likely, the price of the corresponding contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time estimate of the event’s probability.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Llaneros vs Cali match as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or significant shifts in team form could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders or institutional investors could signal new information or a change in market perception, causing the odds to shift. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the potential direction of this market.