TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Llaneros vs America Cali professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer game will end in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, Kalshi gives a 71.0% probability to a tie being the result, with America Cali winning at 20.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game as reported by the official result, and the resolution source is the result of the Llaneros vs America Cali professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Llaneros wins the match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026.
The event determines the winner of the Llaneros vs America Cali professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer game scheduled for October 4, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Llaneros win, America Cali win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following predefined procedures. The markets are independent of any league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd rather than a bookmaker’s assessment. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the price will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of participants influencing this market compared to traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Llaneros vs America Cali match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Llaneros vs America Cali match, as declared by the governing sporting body. The market will determine which outcome – a Llaneros win, an America Cali win, or a draw – is the officially recorded result. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their prediction aligned with the verified outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in previous matches for either Llaneros or America Cali could also impact the market. Major announcements about player availability or tactical changes leading up to the match are likely to cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can quickly move the market, reflecting a sudden shift in collective belief.