TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 4:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional Serie C soccer match between Livorno and Grosseto. Bettors can speculate on whether Livorno, Grosseto, or neither team (a tie) will win the match after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time. The resolution depends solely on the result of the game as it concludes in regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Livorno vs Grosseto professional Serie C soccer match scheduled for October 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Livorno market occurs if Livorno wins the match in regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Grosseto market occurs if Grosseto wins the match in regular time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the match ends level after regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. No outcomes consider extra time or penalty shootouts, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can reveal insights into public sentiment and potential value opportunities, though it’s important to remember that neither source is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. Currently, the most likely outcome, according to Kalshi traders, is Grosseto wins.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Livorno vs Grosseto match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments surrounding the Livorno vs Grosseto match is crucial for understanding potential market movements.