TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 4:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming Champions League soccer match between Liverpool and Villarreal. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, helping participants assess the likelihood of various scoring outcomes. The resolution depends solely on the number of goals scored within the regulation time of the match.
These markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored during the Liverpool versus Villarreal Champions League match scheduled for October 20, 2026, counting only those scored within the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, and excluding any goals from extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market has a specific threshold: if the total goals exceed 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 respectively, that particular market resolves to 'Yes.' The outcome is determined exclusively by the final score at the end of regulation time. All markets share the same underlying event and time frame, with each successive market representing a higher goal threshold. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights differing from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. This can sometimes lead to more accurate predictions, as the market aggregates diverse perspectives and reacts quickly to new information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts corresponding to different total goal outcomes. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the event’s outcome. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view, reflecting the collective expectation of the total goals scored in the Liverpool vs Villarreal match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Liverpool vs Villarreal match, as officially recorded by the governing football authorities, will determine the winning contract. No additional information will be used to determine the outcome beyond the official match statistics. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Liverpool or Villarreal would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups close to kickoff would also be a catalyst. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of different goal totals has the potential to shift prices on Kalshi.