TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Liverpool or Villarreal will win their Champions League soccer match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, Kalshi gives Liverpool a 97.0% probability of winning, while Villarreal is at 1.0%. The market will be resolved based on the outcome of the Liverpool vs Villarreal professional Champions League soccer game as determined by the official result. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market resolves to Yes or No based on the result of the game scheduled for October 20, 2026.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Liverpool vs Villarreal professional Champions League soccer match originally scheduled for October 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and do not consider extra time or penalty shootouts. If Liverpool wins within this timeframe, the 'Liverpool' market resolves to Yes. If Villarreal wins within the same timeframe, the 'Villarreal' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets are independent of any official affiliations with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on a variety of factors, including public perception and their own risk management models. This market, however, reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially when new developments emerge that impact the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a decentralized mechanism, allowing traders to set their own prices and create liquidity. This dynamic pricing system aims to provide a transparent and efficient way to forecast the result of the Liverpool vs Villarreal match.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Liverpool vs Villarreal match, as declared by the governing football authorities. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching strategy for either Liverpool or Villarreal could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match statements from key players, could also impact the market. Furthermore, general shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can drive trading volume and price movements in this market.