TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 3:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional basketball game between two teams competing in England's Super League. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match. Any changes to the game's schedule or cancellation will follow specific guidelines to determine how the market ultimately settles.
The event determines the winner of a men's professional basketball match in the England Super League between Liverpool and Surrey 89ers, scheduled for October 10, 2026, at 1:00 PM EDT. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market’s prices are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the outcome. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations about the Liverpool vs Surrey 89ers match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Liverpool vs Surrey 89ers match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on this publicly available information, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders will then be paid out according to their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team performance, or changes in coaching staff for either Liverpool or the Surrey 89ers could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators could also impact trading activity. Major shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in polls or social media, might also cause movement in this market as traders react to evolving perceptions.